The MP Model in agriculture
- India is today a $3.5 trillion economy. As per the IMF forecast, If the current growth trend continues, the country is likely to be a $5.4 trillion economy by 2027.
- There are lessons from Madhya Pradesh’s agriculture model for inclusive sustainable growth.
India’s Growth trajectory
- India seems to be on the right path and is doing pretty well especially when compared to its progress in the first six decades after 1947.
- As per IMF, it took India almost 59 years since Independence to become a $0.95 trillion economy in 2006. But then it became a $2.3 trillion economy by 2016 it added $1.35 trillion in 10 years.
- In 2022, it became a $3.5 trillion economy by adding $1.2 trillion in just six years.
- If India stays this course, the country could rise to a $25 to $30 trillion economy by 2047.
How inclusive is this growth?
- Inclusiveness measurement and performance: Measured by looking at the record of the laggard states, especially the so-called BIMARU states (Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh), and also the performance of the agricultural sector that engages the largest share of workforce 46.5% in 2020-21.
- GDP at the state level: The country averaged a GDP growth of 6.7% per annum in this period and its agri GDP growth stood at 3.8% per annum. This is satisfying, though not as outstanding as China’s performance.
- Major states: Gujarat topped the list in overall GDP growth at 8.9 % closely followed by Uttarakhand (8.7%), Telangana (8.6%) and Haryana (8%). At the bottom of this list were Jammu and Kashmir (5.2%), Assam (5.4%), West Bengal (5.5%), Uttar Pradesh (5.6%) and Jharkhand (5.7%).
- Madhya Pradesh (MP): MP is the only state whose agriculture contribution to overall GDP has increased to 40%, as against 18.8% at the all-India level its model should aptly be described as inclusive and sustainable.
- Jharkhand: Jharkhand has performed exceptionally well in agriculture with a growth rate of 6.4% per annum, largely driven by diversification towards horticulture and livestock.
- Punjab: In contrast, the Green Revolution champion Punjab hasn’t done well. Its Agri-GDP growth was a meagre 2% per annum over this period.
Inclusive and sustainable Model of Madhya Pradesh
- Highest growth rate: Madhya Pradesh has clocked the highest growth rate in agriculture at 7.3%. Its overall GDP growth is a respectable 7.5%.
- Agri-GDP growth is above India level: The state’s agri-GDP growth is way above the all India agri-GDP growth and the state is a shining example of doubling the contribution of horticulture in its value of agriculture and allied sector.
- Well-diversified portfolio in agriculture: MP has made its mark as a top-notch player in tomato, garlic, mandarin oranges, pulses especially gram and soyabean cultivation. MP is also the second-largest producer of wheat after UP, and the third-largest milk producer after UP and Rajasthan.
- Doubled irrigation coverage: It is following a well-diversified portfolio in agriculture while doubling irrigation coverage from 24 to 45.3% of its gross cropped area over the last two decades.
Conclusion
- Madhya Pradesh agriculture model suggests that a well-diversified portfolio in crops is behind the high growth in the farm sector. This is inclusive and sustainable and offers a path for other Indian states.